Auto Loan Delinquency Growth Set to Slow in 2026: What Dealers Need to Know

Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index Shows Dip Amid Economic Instability and Tariff Concerns

Update Understanding the Downturn: Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index The latest Cox Automotive Dealer Sentiment Index (CADSI) reveals a worrying trend among dealership principals and general managers. Despite positive sales in the first quarter of 2025, the sentiment index has dropped from 44 to 42 in the second quarter, indicating a growing concern about market conditions, tariffs, and the economy. The Economic Landscape: A Primary Concern For the first time, more than half (51%) of the dealers surveyed cited the U.S. economy as their biggest challenge. This starkly highlights how external economic factors can shift dealer perspectives. Interest rates, which previously held the top spot among concerns, now occupy only a secondary position affecting 42% of those surveyed. The current uncertainty surrounding tariffs and economic policy continues to shake the confidence of dealers. A Chevrolet dealer noted the impact of varying political decisions that keep the market in a state of confusion—an environment that directly affects both dealer operations and consumer behavior. The Impact of Tariffs on Dealer Sentiment The fluctuations in tariff policies have reportedly become a major worry for dealers, with nearly half of those perceiving the market as weak indicating tariffs as a concern. This evolving policy climate adds an additional layer of stress for dealers managing inventory and financing options for consumers. Keeping track of these changes is essential as they often trickle down to influence used car financing rates. A Tale of Two Markets: Franchised vs. Independent Dealers The sentiment index showed contrasting results for different types of dealerships. Franchised dealers observed an uptick in their index from 54 to 56, largely due to favorable new vehicle sales. Their ability to tap into both new and used vehicle markets provides them a comparative advantage. In contrast, independent dealers faced a decline from 42 to 37, further emphasizing the challenges in the used vehicle segment. These differences illustrate a vital lesson: the dynamics within the auto market can vary significantly depending on dealership type and operational strategies. Future Predictions: Navigating Uncertainty As we look to the future, the current vehicle market appears to be at an inflection point. According to Jonathan Smoke, Cox Automotive's Chief Economist, navigating this transitional landscape will require dealer principals to adapt quickly. The fluctuations in market conditions necessitate careful consideration of used car financing and the implications for financing rates moving forward. Action Steps: Adapt to the Shifting Landscape Dealers must keep a close eye on evolving economic indicators and consumer sentiment, particularly regarding used car loan interest rates. Being proactive in understanding how to refinance auto loans, utilizing tools like a used car loan calculator, and seeking the best used car financing rates will enable them to better serve customers in a challenging environment. To navigate future uncertainties, dealership leaders might also consider refreshing their financial strategies, focusing on low-interest rates and flexible financing options to meet consumer demand and maintain competitiveness. Conclusion: Ready to Evolve? As we witness the market dynamics shift, it’s imperative for dealers to remain informed and agile. Assessing how to mitigate risks associated with fluctuating tariffs and economic instability will be critical. For dealership principals, understanding these nuances not only aids in strategic planning but ultimately influences consumer engagement.